January 2017 review

I still owe you an article on the kick-off/closing odds and I'll be glad to publish it in a few days, but let me get the January 2017 review out of the way first.


OFFICIAL PICKS:

7/1 NL: (-0.75) ALDERSHOT - Southport  (1.98 @SBO) 4 points  FT 2:1 (+1.96)
14/1 NL: (-0.5) WREXHAM - North Ferriby  (1.46 @12bet/Dafabet) 4 points  FT 1:0 (+1.84)
21/1 NL: (-0.75) MACCLESFIELD - Guiseley  (1.71 @Pinnacle) 4 points  FT 1:2 (-4)
21/1 NL: Southport - NORTH FERRIBY  (5.70 @12bet/Dafabet) 1 point  FT 2:4 (+4.70)
28/1 NL: (-0.25) EASTLEIGH - Woking  (1.45 @Pinnacle) 4 points  FT 0:1 (-4)
28/1 NL: Tranmere - DAG & RED  (4.13 @Pinnacle) 1 point  FT 0:2 (+3.13)

6 picks
18 points staked
4-0-2
+3.63 point profit
20.1% ROI
6.0% ROC
(advised bank: 60 points)

A bad mini-run with the four-point asian handicap bets (-8) has been counteracted by a great mini-run with the one-point bets on outsiders (+7.83) and I doubt I'll see many, if any, more weekends with this kind of a scenario (the four-point asian handicap bet fails while the one-point outsider bet lands) in the next thirteen weeks (+play-offs). The bets on outsiders have produced a 391% ROI this month (!) and that's based on recorded odds - the Dag & Red odds have, for some reason, drifted out to 5.14 with Pinnacle by kick-off last weekend. All in all, a very good month - I'd have nothing against a 20% ROI each month, obviously.


UNOFFICIAL LAST-MINUTE PICKS:

21/1 NL: York - (0) BARROW  (1.72 @Pinnacle) 1 point  FT 2:1 (-1)
28/1 NL: (0) BROMLEY - Southport  (1.49 @Pinnacle) 1 point  FT 3:1 (+0.49)

2 picks
2 points staked
1-0-1
-0.51 point loss
-25.5% ROI

A small loss with the unofficial last-minute picks, but there was once again only a couple of bets. There should be more last-minute picks in February.


UNOFFICIAL LONG-TERM PICKS 2016/17 (PENDING):

NL: DAG & RED to be promoted to League Two (6.00 @Marathon) 1 point

The current best price is 5.00 with the likes of Marathon and Will Hill (the bet was advised in mid-September). Unfortunately, these unofficial long-term bets aren't available with the likes of Pinnacle and SBO.