October 2016 review

There weren't that many bets in October - only three official picks and four unofficial last-minute picks - so there's really not much to write about, but at least we're off. Fun fact: it turns out I was one goal away from ten consecutive profitable months, which would've been a new record - this way I've only equalled the nine-month run that went on between December 2006 and November 2007.


OFFICIAL PICKS 2016/17:

22/10 NL: (-0.25) DAG & RED - Macclesfield (1.57 @Pinnacle) 2 points FT 1:1 (-1)
22/10 NL: Lincoln - EASTLEIGH (3.45 @Pinnacle) 0.5 point FT 0:0 (-0.5)
29/10 NL: (-0.75) ALDERSHOT - Guiseley (1.76 @Pinnacle) 2 points FT 1:0 (+0.76)

3 picks
4.5 points staked
1-0-2
-0.74 point loss
-16.5% ROI
-1.2% ROC
(advised bank: 60 points)

Of the two asian handicap bets, one was half-lost while the other was half-won - both were half-void. The only outsider bet was close, but not close enough. Those clients who are taking the bets just before the kick-off are only -0.53 point down as the (-0.75) Aldershot odds drifted to 1.97 with Pinnacle by the 3 PM kick-off.

UNOFFICIAL LAST-MINUTE PICKS 2016/17:

22/10 NL: (-0.75) DOVER - Braintree (2.04 @SBO) 0.5 point FT 6:1 (+0.52)
22/10 NL: Woking - (0) BARROW (1.78 @Pinnacle) 0.5 point FT 1:1 (+/-0)
29/10 NL: Maidstone - (0) MACCLESFIELD (1.79 @Pinnacle) 0.5 point FT 2:1 (-0.5)
29/10 NL: North Ferriby - (-0.25) BROMLEY (1.85 @Pinnacle) 0.5 point FT 1:2 (+0.42)

4 picks
2 points staked
2-1-1
+0.44 point profit
22.0% ROI

A good start (but very early days) with the unofficial last-minute picks, which I expect a lot from in the years to come. The last-minute market is even stronger as Pinnacle limits get a lot (more than twice) bigger closer to kick-off and I've noticed that there's practically no odds movement - at least not yet. You do have to be able to take the bets ten minutes before the 3 PM Saturday kick-off on a regular basis.


OFFICIAL + LAST-MINUTE COMBINED 2016/17:

7 picks
6.5 points staked
3-1-3
-0.30 point loss
-4.7% ROI
-0.5% ROC
(advised bank: 60 points)


UNOFFICIAL LONG-TERM PICKS 2016/17 (PENDING):

NL: DAG & RED to be promoted to League Two (6.00 @Marathon) 1 point

The current best price is 4.33 with Bet365. Unfortunately, these unofficial long-term bets aren't available with the likes of Pinnacle and SBO.


Btw I'll most probably share an unofficial last-minute pick here on the blog next Saturday (there won't be much action this weekend due to the FA Cup), ten to twenty minutes before the 3 PM kick-off, but I'll also try and publish an unrelated article before that.